Recession

Overall, despite the continued tariff distractions, after “Liberation Day,” I expect economic optimism to rise steadily in the upcoming months.

Analysts suggest that the U.S. economy has a 35 percent chance of entering a recession within the next 12 months.

Overall, I am expecting economic optimism to steadily rise in the upcoming months.

Rising inflation and policy uncertainty over new tariffs also sent the future expectations index to a 12-year low.

Americans grew uneasy about the economy in February as inflation expectations surged and consumer sentiment took its steepest dive in over two years.

Lawmakers are seeking to counter a signature campaign issue for President Donald Trump amid tariff talk and downward trends in the market.

Meanwhile, executives continue to express concern about the Trump administration’s tariff policies.

The stock market is a manic crowd. A crowd does not think, it merely reacts. We now have a grossly oversold stock market.

Tariff-driven recession talk is sending U.S. Treasury yields to their lowest levels since December.

A survey of more than 24,300 readers provides insight into public perception; and while optimism is high, many acknowledge short-term challenges.

The yuan is tightly controlled by the Chinese Communist Party via China’s central bank, and analysts predict the currency will continue to fall.

Output in the services sector—accounting for more than 80 percent of total UK economic output—recorded no growth in October.

There were fewer layoffs last week but many more workers remaining on unemployment rolls, signaling hiring slowdowns and economic uncertainty.

Job applications in the public sector have hit a record high amid China’s unemployment crisis and gloomy economy.

America’s manufacturing sector continued its decline in September, with falling factory orders pointing to weak growth into 2025.

‘There is significant human suffering, and the outcome of these situations could have far-reaching effects,’ he says.

Citing a strong September nonfarm payrolls report, Goldman Sachs has cut its recession forecast to 15 percent.